Trump's Threat?

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Trump's Threat?



Newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump threatened Hamas, stating that if they did not release Israeli hostages before he assumed office, he would turn the region into hell for them. Following this, negotiations for a ceasefire gained momentum, a structure for which the Biden administration had been working on since May 31, 2024.

It is noteworthy that on October 7, 2023, Hamas infiltrated Israel, killing 1,200 Israelis and kidnapping 250 Jews, taking them to Gaza. Amid this warlike environment and chaos, thousands of innocent Palestinian Arabs, including women and children, also lost their lives. According to Hamas's Health Ministry, the death toll stands at 46,440, with over 150,000. However, Israel claims to have eliminated nearly 17,000 Hamas fighters.

Regardless of the numbers, there is no doubt that Israel has turned Gaza into a wasteland. Even if the U.S. and European Union send as much aid as they want, it will take years for complete rehabilitation, but the dead will not return. No matter how many wars are fought, ultimately, conflicts are resolved at the negotiation table. This is why the Biden administration initiated talks in Doha, which have proven fruitful.

Under the supervision of the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar, a peace agreement or deal has been reached, under which a ceasefire between the parties will take effect on Sunday, January 19. The agreement has three phases. In the first phase, there will be a six-week ceasefire during which, in exchange for 33 Israeli hostages, Israel will release 2,000 Palestinian prisoners, including 250 Hamas members who have been given severe sentences by Israeli courts for acts of terrorism.

Israeli forces will gradually withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor on the Egypt-Gaza border and also vacate densely populated areas of Gaza. However, Israeli forces will remain in an 800-meter-wide buffer zone on Gaza's eastern side. Israel will open the Rafah crossing with Egypt, allowing 600 trucks loaded with aid and medical supplies to enter Gaza. More aid trucks and fuel tankers will also be allowed entry. Israel will permit wounded Palestinians to go abroad for medical treatment and make arrangements for the return of millions of displaced Palestinians.

The European Union has immediately announced substantial funds for Gaza's reconstruction. During the Doha talks, Hamas insisted on retaining its previous status in the future setup and securing the release of as many militant prisoners as possible, while Israel's primary focus was the release of its hostages.

Hamas has agreed to release 33 hostages out of 94 in the first phase, including children, elderly, injured, sick, and women. It is reported that 34 hostages have been killed, and their bodies will be returned in the next phase. Meanwhile, around 27 hostages will remain in Hamas custody, contingent on further Israeli withdrawals in the next phase of negotiations. On this issue, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is facing challenges from his right-wing allies, particularly the National Security Minister and Finance Minister, who argue that the gains achieved after 15 months of struggle are being sabotaged by prioritizing the release of hostages. They have threatened to withdraw from the government without toppling it, forcing Netanyahu to delay cabinet approval.

Joe Biden, after nearly the same number of days, is taking credit as he prepares to leave office, claiming that he successfully secured the release of Israeli hostages. Accompanied by the Vice President and Secretary of State, he detailed the achievements in a press conference. However, Netanyahu thanked Trump before acknowledging Biden's efforts. Trump announced the peace deal, stating, "We have achieved a deal concerning our hostages in the Middle East. They will be released soon. Thank you."

The United Nations Secretary-General, the European Union, Egypt, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the global community have welcomed the ceasefire. Interestingly, both Tel Aviv and Gaza celebrated their respective victories. While the Israeli celebration is understandable as they successfully secured most of their hostages and incapacitated Hamas, it raises the question of what Hamas is celebrating.

For Israel, even an imperfect deal was acceptable as it aimed to weaken Iran during the Trump era. In the coming months and years, the world will see what the U.S. and Israel plan to do to, in their view, liberate the Iranian people from the religious tyranny of conservatives.

Location: United States

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